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In this article, we’ll examine what makes the monsoon season so important, the challenges it brings, and how climate change is making it harder to predict.
Ecology
2024-11-04T00:00:00.000Z
2025-07-23T00:00:00.000Z
en-gb
For millions of people around the world, the monsoon season is more than just a weather event - it’s a lifeline. These seasonal rains bring water to dry lands, sustain agriculture, and refill the reservoirs that entire communities depend on. But as our climate changes, so too do the rhythms of the monsoon.
“ What were once predictable patterns are now shifting in dangerous and disruptive ways. Rising global temperatures are altering wind and rainfall dynamics, leading to shorter bursts of intense rain in some areas and prolonged droughts in others. The result? More frequent and extreme events like floods, landslides, and crop failures, with devastating consequences for both ecosystems and economies. ”
In this article, we’ll explore:
What causes monsoon season and why it matters
How monsoons vary around the world
The science behind monsoon systems and their link to global climate
The growing influence of climate change on monsoon behaviour
What governments, communities, and companies can do to adapt and build resilience
What is Monsoon Season? An overview
“ Monsoon season refers to a period of intense rainfall caused by a seasonal shift in wind patterns. These shifts occur in regions across Asia, Africa, and the Americas, where moist air from the oceans is pulled inland due to temperature and pressure differences between land and sea. As this warm, moisture-rich air moves over land, it rises and cools, leading to condensation, heavy downpours, and thunderstorms. Contrary to popular belief, a monsoon isn’t just about rain; it’s the result of a larger atmospheric cycle that drives these dramatic seasonal weather changes. ”
Monsoon seasons vary greatly by region. In South Asia, for example, the monsoon rains typically start in June and last until September, bringing over 70% of the region’s annual rainfall. Meanwhile, East Africa’s “long rains” occur from March to May, followed by shorter rains in October and November. Each region’s monsoon season has its own timing and intensity, influenced by geography, elevation, and proximity to the ocean.
⚠️ While, on one hand, monsoons are essential for replenishing water supplies and supporting agriculture, they can also be unpredictable and, at times, dangerous. This is especially true as climate change alters the stability of these wind and rainfall patterns. As we’ll explore in this article, rising global temperatures are making monsoons less predictable, increasing the risk of both extreme rain events and dry spells that can severely impact the communities that rely on these rains.
Key monsoon seasons across the world:
South Asia
Monsoon Season: June to September
Characteristics: Characterised by heavy, sustained rainfall; brings 70–80% of annual rainfall to countries like India and Bangladesh.
Benefits: Vital for agriculture, particularly rice and tea crops; replenishes water reserves.
Risks: Flooding, landslides, and infrastructure damage due to intense rain; affects urban areas.
East Africa
Monsoon Season: Long rains: March to May Short rains: October to December
Characteristics: Long rains bring steady, moderate rain; short rains are intense but shorter-lasting.
Benefits: Supports agriculture (especially in Ethiopia, Kenya, and Uganda) and helps fill reservoirs.
Risks: Flooding and crop damage during intense rains; potential for drought if rains are delayed.
West Africa
Monsoon Season: April to October
Characteristics: Marked by thunderstorms and heavy rains, especially along the Guinea Coast and Sahel region.
Benefits: Essential for crops like millet, maize, and sorghum; refills lakes and rivers.
Risks: Increased risk of malaria and waterborne diseases; risk of crop loss during heavy storms.
Australia and Oceania
Monsoon Season: November to March
Characteristics: Northern Australia sees intense tropical storms and cyclones; high humidity and warm temperatures.
Benefits: Provides water for arid regions; crucial for the Northern Territory and Queensland crops.
Risks: Cyclones and flooding; damage to coastal infrastructure and risks to wildlife habitats.
North America (Southwest)
Monsoon Season: July to September
Characteristics: Short, intense storms with lightning; primarily in Arizona, New Mexico, and Northern Mexico.
Benefits: Important for desert ecosystems and helps control wildfire risk; refills groundwater.
Risks: Flash floods in canyons and arid areas; risk of lightning-induced fires during dry storms.
East Asia
Monsoon Season: June to August
Characteristics: Heavy rains in South China, Korea, and Japan; impacts coastal and mountainous areas.
Benefits: Supports rice farming and water reservoirs; cools temperatures in summer.
Risks: Risk of landslides, especially in mountainous areas; flash floods in urbanised regions.
South America (Amazon Basin)
Monsoon Season: December to March
Characteristics: Period of intense rainfall in the Amazon rainforest; high humidity and tropical storms.
Benefits: Supports the Amazon ecosystem; vital for biodiversity and indigenous communities.
Risks: Increased river levels causing floods; impact on transportation within the rainforest.
What drives the monsoon season?
Monsoons are complex climate phenomena that result from the interactions between land, ocean, and atmospheric systems. While many people associate monsoon season with heavy rain, monsoons are primarily defined by seasonal shifts in wind patterns. This shift, driven by temperature differences between land and ocean, brings moist air from the sea to land, resulting in significant rainfall.
🌬️ How do monsoons form?
☀️ Land heats faster than the ocean during summer, creating a pressure difference.
🌊 Cool ocean air moves inland, bringing moisture from the sea to land.
☁️ Warm air rises, moisture condenses, forming rain-heavy clouds.
🌧️ This cycle drives intense and sustained rainfall throughout the monsoon season.
🗺️ Regional differences in monsoon systems
🌏 South Asia’s monsoon is the largest, bringing 70–80% of annual rainfall to India, Nepal, and Bangladesh.
🌵 North America’s monsoon is smaller, helping ease desert heat in the southwest US and Mexico.
⛰️ Mountains and coastlines shape monsoon intensity — like the Himalayas and Western Ghats in India.
🌀 Each region’s geography affects rainfall volume, timing, and risk.
🌎 The role of monsoons in the global climate
💧 Transports moisture from oceans to land, helping to regulate global rainfall and temperature.
🔥 Redistributes heat energy from the tropics to higher latitudes, moderating temperatures.
🌿 Supports ecosystems and biodiversity by feeding forests, grasslands, and wetlands.
🌱 Acts as carbon sinks that absorb CO₂ - however, this role is at risk due to climate disruption.
📉 The science of monsoon variability
🌊 El Niño weakens monsoons in South Asia, while La Niña tends to strengthen them.
📊 These are part of the ENSO cycle, which shifts sea surface temperatures and weather patterns.
🌡️ Warming oceans and climate change disrupt these delicate cycles.
🔍 Understanding variability is key to forecasting risk and planning for resilience.
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What’s the difference between monsoons and tropical storms?
Monsoons, hurricanes, typhoons, cyclones, and tropical storms are all weather phenomena, but they aren’t the same thing.
🌧️ Monsoon
📖 Definition: A seasonal shift in wind patterns that brings prolonged rainfall over a wide region.
🔥 Cause: Driven by differences in heating between land and ocean, which create pressure gradients that draw in moist air from the sea.
⏳ Duration: Usually lasts weeks to several months.
💨 Wind Speed: A monsoon isn’t a single storm system but a broader climatic pattern.
🌧️ Effect: Sustained rainfall, supporting agriculture, replenishing water sources, and regulating ecosystems.
🗺️ Location: Common in South Asia, Southeast Asia, Africa, and parts of the Americas.
🌀 Named Storm? No — monsoons are not individually named.
🌧️ Effect: Intense but short-lived weather, including flooding, storm surges, and wind damage.
🗺️ Location:
🌪️ Hurricane: Atlantic & NE Pacific
🌀 Typhoon: Northwest Pacific
🌬️ Cyclone: South Pacific & Indian Ocean
🌀 Named Storm? Yes — each storm is named individually once it forms.
✅ Key Difference: Monsoons are seasonal, long-term weather patterns driven by wind and pressure shifts. Tropical storms are short-lived, powerful storm systems with distinct structures and regional names based on where they form.
Why is the monsoon season important?
“ Monsoon rains are a vital source of life for nearly 20% of the world’s population. They replenish water supplies, support the growth of staple crops like rice and tea, and help cool soaring summer temperatures. These seasonal rains also sustain diverse ecosystems – from wetlands and grasslands to tropical forests – helping to preserve biodiversity and natural balance. ”
Why monsoon seasons matter:
💧
Water supply replenishment
Monsoon rains refill rivers, lakes, and reservoirs.
Monsoon rains help refill rivers, lakes, and reservoirs, providing essential drinking water and supporting local communities and agriculture.
🌾
Agricultural support
Heavy rains nourish crops like rice, tea, and sugarcane.
Heavy rains create ideal conditions for growing water-intensive crops like rice, tea, and sugarcane, essential for the food supply and local economies.
🌡️
Temperature regulation
Rainfall cools the air and relieves extreme heat.
The cooling effect of rainfall helps lower temperatures, providing relief from extreme heat in many monsoon regions.
🌱
Soil fertility enhancement
Restores moisture and nutrients to farmland soil.
Monsoon rains help restore soil moisture and nutrients, making land more fertile and suitable for farming.
🦜
Ecosystem support
Rains sustain forests, wetlands, and grasslands.
The rains sustain diverse ecosystems, including forests, wetlands, and grasslands, which are home to many plant and animal species.
🚿
Groundwater recharge
Replenishes underground water supplies in dry zones.
Monsoon rains help recharge groundwater levels, a critical source of water for many arid and semi-arid regions.
⚡
Hydroelectric power
Boosts dam levels for clean electricity generation.
In regions with dams and hydroelectric facilities, monsoon rains increase water levels, boosting electricity production.
⚠️ Monsoons are a double-edged sword: The same rains that bring life can also bring destruction. Sudden, heavy downpours often lead to flooding, displacing communities, damaging infrastructure, and halting economic activity. In mountainous areas, landslides triggered by saturated soils can wipe out entire villages and cut off access to essential services.
The dangers of monsoon season:
🌊
Flooding
Intense rainfall overwhelms urban and low-lying areas.
Intense rainfall can lead to severe flooding, especially in low-lying and urban areas, displacing communities and causing widespread damage to infrastructure.
⛰️
Landslides
Saturated soils can trigger deadly slope collapses.
Heavy rains on mountainous or deforested terrain can trigger landslides, endangering lives and obstructing roads and access to remote areas.
🦠
Waterborne diseases
Stagnant water fosters outbreaks of illness.
Flooded areas can become breeding grounds for diseases such as cholera, dengue, and malaria, posing significant health risks to affected populations.
🌾
Crop damage
Fields can become waterlogged and yields destroyed.
Excessive rainfall can damage crops, leading to reduced yields and financial losses for farmers, especially if fields become waterlogged.
🏚️
Infrastructure damage
Bridges, roads, and buildings may collapse or erode.
Intense rain and flooding can damage roads, bridges, and buildings, disrupting transport and essential services.
💼
Economic disruption
Local businesses and tourism may be halted.
Monsoon-related disasters can halt business operations, tourism, and local markets, affecting income and economic stability in impacted regions.
🔌
Power outages
Flooded lines and winds can knock out electricity.
Flooding and high winds can damage power lines and infrastructure, leading to prolonged power outages in affected areas.
“ As climate change intensifies weather extremes, the risks associated with monsoon season are only growing. This makes it more urgent than ever for vulnerable communities to prepare for both the benefits and the hazards that come with the rains. ”
How does climate change impact the monsoon season?
Climate change is disrupting the timing, intensity, and reliability of monsoon rains, and the reasons are rooted in both ocean and atmospheric shifts driven by global warming.
What’s changing?
Monsoons depend on the seasonal contrast between land and ocean temperatures. Normally, as land heats up faster than the sea, rising warm air over continents draws in moist air from the ocean, resulting in monsoon rains.
But with climate change, this balance is being thrown off in several ways:
🌊
Warmer oceans: Rising sea surface temperatures alter pressure patterns and wind circulation, disrupting monsoon flows and potentially weakening their consistency.
💧
More atmospheric moisture: Warmer air can hold more water vapour. This leads to more intense and sudden rainfall — increasing flood risk.
🌀
Shifting wind and jet stream patterns: Global warming is disturbing large-scale circulation systems, such as the Hadley cell and subtropical jet stream, altering monsoon behaviour.
🌫️
Delayed land heating: Air pollution and deforestation can reduce surface heating, delaying the monsoon’s arrival or weakening its intensity.
“ These physical changes are making the monsoon season shorter, less predictable, and more extreme. In some years, rains arrive late or not at all. In others, they fall all at once, overwhelming communities and infrastructure. ”
Climate change is altering monsoon behaviour across the globe, but the impacts differ by region. In some places, rainfall is delayed or diminished. In others, it's more intense and erratic - overwhelming infrastructure, damaging crops, and destabilising ecosystems. Below is an overview of how key monsoon regions are being affected:
Region
Climate impact
Consequences
South Asia
(India, Bangladesh, Nepal, Sri Lanka)
Delayed onset, shorter duration, and more intense rainfall events
Unreliable “long” and “short” rainy seasons; alternating droughts and floods
Water scarcity, failed harvests, food insecurity, displacement from floods
Southeast Asia
(Thailand, Vietnam, Philippines)
Increased intensity of typhoons and rainfall variability
Flooded cities, landslides in mountainous zones, strain on disaster response systems
West Africa
(Sahel region)
Shorter rainy season and less predictable rainfall
Pasture degradation, reduced crop yields, conflict over water and land resources
Amazon Basin
(Brazil, Peru, Colombia)
Delayed and shorter wet season, longer dry spells
Forest stress and increased fire risk, altered river flow patterns
Australia & Pacific
(Australia, island nations)
Erratic monsoon cycles and more frequent La Niña/El Niño effects
Droughts, crop loss, disrupted traditional fishing/agriculture cycles
A surge in extreme weather
Climate change is fuelling more intense and unpredictable events during the monsoon season:
🌊
Flash floods & landslides
Sudden rainfall on degraded land leads to flash floods and slope failures, threatening lives and infrastructure.
🌀
Stronger tropical cyclones
Warmer oceans are supercharging storms, making cyclones more powerful, destructive, and harder to predict.
🔥
Longer pre-monsoon heatwaves
Extended heatwaves dry out soil, increasing the risk of erosion and reducing water absorption once rains arrive.
These extremes are no longer outliers, they are fast becoming the new normal in many monsoon-affected regions.
Deepening economic and ecological fallout
For regions that rely on the monsoon, the stakes are rising. Unpredictable rains are undermining agriculture (the backbone of many local economies). Failed harvests not only threaten food security but also devastate rural incomes, pushing smallholder farmers into debt and deepening cycles of poverty.
In countries like India, rice and wheat yields have plummeted in recent years due to poor monsoons, with ripple effects across supply chains and national markets.
Water shortages compound the strain. Hydropower output falls, urban centres face rationing, and industries dependent on water are forced to scale back operations, disrupting jobs and local economies.
Meanwhile, ecosystems built around stable wet-dry rhythms are faltering. Wetlands dry out, forests suffer dieback, and migratory patterns shift - threatening biodiversity and weakening the natural systems that regulate climate, store carbon, and provide livelihoods.
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Real-world examples: When monsoons turn dangerous
Extreme monsoon events are no longer rare; they’re becoming the norm. Across South Asia and East Africa, climate change is fuelling heavier rains, longer droughts, and more destructive floods. Below, we explore two recent disasters that illustrate the growing human and economic cost of a warming world.
🇵🇰 2022 – Pakistan’s deadly monsoon floods
⏱ June–August 2022
Pakistan’s 2022 monsoon season was one of the most catastrophic in recent memory. Rainfall levels in August alone were more than three times the national average — with some provinces like Sindh and Balochistan receiving up to eight times their usual monthly totals.
📊 The damage was staggering:
33 million people affected
1,700+ deaths
1.7 million homes destroyed or damaged
$30 billion in economic losses
Thousands of kilometres of roads, croplands, and infrastructure wiped out
🌍 What role did climate change play?
An international attribution study found that climate change likely made extreme rainfall during this monsoon 50% to 75% more intense — and possibly even doubled it in some regions. Vulnerable communities in flood-prone areas bore the brunt of the destruction, showing how rising temperatures are turning seasonal rains into humanitarian crises.
🇮🇳 2023 – Flash floods across northern India
⏱ July 7–10, 2023
A surge of monsoon moisture led to torrential downpours across northern India, triggering flash floods and landslides in Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Punjab, and Delhi. In just four days, Himachal Pradesh received more than 300 mm of rainfall — over eight times the normal amount for that period.
📊 The consequences included:
100+ deaths
Thousands displaced
Major damage to roads, bridges, and homes
Delhi recorded its wettest July day in 40 years
🌍 Climate change influence:
While attribution studies are ongoing, researchers point to a clear pattern: climate change is driving more intense and erratic rainfall across the Himalayan region. As rising temperatures increase atmospheric moisture, events like this are becoming more frequent — overwhelming both natural landscapes and human systems.
“ These aren’t isolated events - they are warnings. Understanding their scale and causes can help inform better preparation, resilience strategies, and climate policy. ”
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How can we build resilience to a changing monsoon season?
Building climate resilience in the face of shifting monsoon patterns means acting on two fronts: slowing climate change and adapting to new realities.
Mitigation: Tackling the root cause
To stabilise monsoon systems in the long run, global efforts must focus on reducing greenhouse gas emissions. This includes:
🔋
Transitioning to low-carbon energy sources like solar and wind
⚙️
Improving energy efficiency across sectors
🌳
Promoting carbon management practices — such as reforestation, clean mobility, and corporate emissions tracking
These actions won’t reverse monsoon shifts overnight, but they’re crucial to preventing further destabilisation.
Adaptation: Living with uncertainty
Even as we cut emissions, communities must adapt to increasingly erratic weather. This involves:
🏗️
Resilient infrastructure
Upgrading stormwater drainage, reinforcing embankments, and flood-proofing urban systems.
💧
Smart water management
Expanding rainwater harvesting, reservoir storage, and drought planning.
🌾
Sustainable agriculture
Diversifying crops, improving soil health, and switching to flood- or drought-resistant varieties.
🚨
Early-warning systems
Using tech to monitor rainfall and send alerts for floods, landslides, and cyclones.
Collective action
Adapting to the shifting monsoon season can’t be left to individuals alone. Climate resilience demands coordinated action from governments, businesses, and communities — especially in regions already feeling the effects. While there are encouraging examples of adaptation around the world, progress is still patchy and underfunded. To keep pace with accelerating risks, these efforts must be scaled up, supported, and replicated across vulnerable regions.
What's being done to adapt and mitigate to changing monsoon seasons globally?
Who
Real-world action
Example
🏛️ Governments
Investing in forecasting systems and climate risk mapping.
India’s National Monsoon Mission enhances seasonal prediction capacity to guide farming and disaster prep.
🏙️ Cities
Upgrading infrastructure to withstand flooding and relocation of at-risk communities.
Jakarta is reinforcing embankments and improving urban drainage as part of its climate adaptation plan.
🏢 Businesses
Integrating climate risk into supply chains and promoting regenerative agriculture.
Nestlé trains farmers to adopt water-saving and soil-health practices that increase climate resilience.
🚜 Farmers & communities
Adopting drought-resistant crops and working with co-ops to manage shifting rain cycles.
In Kenya, smallholders supported by NGOs are switching to crops that thrive despite erratic rainfall.
🌍 NGOs & coalitions
Funding infrastructure and adaptation initiatives in vulnerable regions.
The Global Center on Adaptation supports flood-resilient roads and water systems in Southeast Asia and Africa.
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How can Greenly help your company?
As climate change continues to alter monsoon patterns and increase the frequency of extreme weather events, businesses must adapt to new environmental realities.
Greenly is here to support companies on their journey toward more sustainable and resilient operations. By providing a suite of carbon management solutions, Greenly helps organisations understand and reduce their environmental footprint, preparing them to respond effectively to climate risks and regulatory pressures.
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Get a full picture of your product or service’s environmental footprint – helping guide product design, sourcing, and innovation.
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Set science-based targets, build decarbonisation roadmaps, and monitor progress over time with tailored dashboards and support.
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Identify emissions hotspots in your value chain and work with your suppliers to boost sustainability and transparency.
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Stay ahead of evolving ESG regulations – including CSRD, the GHG Protocol, SBTi, and more – with expert guidance and up-to-date tools.
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